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Writer's pictureStéphan

6 FED cuts priced in before March '25 / SPX500 'failed' ahead of previous ATH's / All about Jackson Hole now



  • Powell’s Jackson Hole speeches tend to lift the stock market — but when they don’t, the drop is a doozy >>> The market has priced 6 rate cuts from the Fed between now and March 2025, SPX500 didn't quite reach ATH's yesterday, bearish candle if it follow suits today it will matter, together with possible USD strength, 'could' spoil the current bullish-nothing can go wrong sentiment - see USDJPY below

  • Plenty of speakers lined up for later on in the day, beware of possible vol moment

  • BOJ’s Ueda signals readiness to raise rates if growth, inflation on track

  • Mayor of London Sadiq Khan has suggested the UK could rejoin the EU in “the medium to long term”, in a departure from Labour’s stance on Brexit

  • S&P PMIs: Flash PMIs were mixed, with a tick-up in headline services, but a decline in manufacturing

  • Kennedy withdraws candidacy in Arizona on eve of big announcement

  • Ghost jobs: What the rise in fake job listings says about the current job market >>> been going on for a long time! we were told back in the day in investment banking to always interview folks...for those dream jobs... it was simply to get client's info ''market knowledge'.. some famous U.S house were excellent at it..

  • BMW overtakes Tesla in European EV sales for first time, report says

  • Sticker price at some colleges is now nearly $100,000 a year, ‘a worrisome trend,’

  • Swiss food multinational Nestlé has surprisingly appointed a new CEO. Laurent Freixe will take over from Mark Schneider on September 1 >>> as often discussed years ago, expensive share buy backs/higher debt not a good strategy..


 







If you want some growth...help reduce volatile energy prices and reduce inflation overall...








#USDJPY do watch out fo a snap back if Powell isn't quite as dovish as the market has already priced in


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