Israel-Hamas war : four-day ceasefire and release of 50 hostages held in Gaza agreed
FOMC Minutes: The Nov meeting minutes was very similar to the last, ''continue to keep options open for further rate hikes and emphasized rates would remain restrictive for some time until inflation is clearly moving down sustainably to target''. Unlike the Sep minutes, there was no indication that another rate hike was likely, QT to continue
BoE's Bailey : 'Far too early' to talk about rate cuts
RBA (in the minutes) said it lifted its key interest rate this month to reduce the risk of a “larger monetary policy response” in coming months, given the persistence of inflation and the stronger than expected performance of the economy
OpenAI Altman, briefly to MSFT, and back, what a saga
The Mag 7, have been magnificent YTD - that's for sure, worth noting that by now they provide the highest concentration risk of any period in the SPX500 history >>> Hedge funds have bet over $200bn on the "magnificent seven". Crowding is now the most extreme ever, according to Goldman Sachs (short stock intrerest remains near the lowest levels in history:GS) >>> CTAs purchased $153 billion of global equities over the last 10 days, the highest amount ever recorded
NVDA delivers on big earnings, stock has rallied 250% in 2023 though
Novo rations Ozempic starter kits amid surge in use for weight loss
UK autum statement, government throwing a few goodies, mini tax cuts
Markets :
30% of a Fed cut in March '24 priced in and a total of about 90+bps priced in for the whole of 2024, market has about a total of 1% of cuts priced in for ECB too
USD index closed below its 200dma for the 1st time since Aug, and snapped back overnight, particularly USDJPY as JPN governmetn slahed its view on the economy, 1st such move in abotu 10months
GOLD over $2K makes Platinum look super cheap #XPT
U.S equity markets - tech update below from Saxo
Uranium +$80 for 1st time in more than 15 years
Commodity prices to equity ratio, are at historical lows
Crude made a low last week and gradually moving higher again - after inventory build data, SPX refill likely and likely extension of prod cuts from OPEC+
UST 10's holding around key support in yield terms 4.35%, the likes of GS expect U.S fiscal discipline unlikely, and this steepening yield curve ahead in 2024
Althea Spinozzi on X: "🇺🇸Following a strong 20-year UST auction, yields didn't drop dramatically; why? One of the reasons might be that leverage funds have been reducing their short bond position dramatically in the past few weeks and are now the least short since July. ⬇️ https://t.co/hgrrcmXDBo" / X (twitter.com)
PLATINUM Documentary: Mining, Science and History - YouTube intersting docu
Treasury Department on X: "Today, @USTreasury announced the largest enforcement action in our history against Binance, the world’s largest virtual currency exchange. This action is a result of Binance’s egregious violations of U.S. anti-money laundering and sanctions laws. https://t.co/V4IM0b16H3" / X (twitter.com)
Sam Altman ‘looking forward’ to return to OpenAI; Jeremy Hunt expected to cut taxes – business live (msn.com)
Search is on for pipeline leak after as much as 1.1 million gallons of oil sullies Gulf of Mexico (qz.com)
Autumn statement: tax cuts could boost UK economy, but businesses also need more certainty (theconversation.com)
XPT vs XAU - similar production costs, too cheap
WTI crude
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