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Writer's pictureStéphan

Bessent nomination as exp, supress vols, 3x3x3 / #MSTR fascinating / Big UST auctions in this Thanksgiving week




  • Trump's new Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: "We are going to decide whether we are going to grow our way out of this debt burden, and I think we can, through deregulation, energy independence & dominance in the US, and a growth mindset. I feel very strongly that this is the last chance to grow ourselves out of this." >>>> He will need more than business as usual to accomplish his goals. Deficits less than 3% of GDP? We are at 8% or more now (and 3% GDP growth and 3mio more barrels of crude daily) That will mean some HUGE cuts and lots of growth, overall reaction as expected, ie most important thing SUPRESS vol (MOVE index in particular), policies are overall disinflationary, tariffs threat are a negotiation

  • How China Could Strike Back At Trump's Tariffs

  • In the U.S. 40% of homes are entirely mortgage-free (similar in UK).. Homeowners are in a strong position, with the average loan-to-value ratio under 50%

  • Japan’s $250bn stimulus plan seeks to encourage more work and spending

    Sharp raising of threshold before earnings are taxed is key measure in first major initiative of new Ishiba government

  • #MSTR story is fascinating ..."I don’t see how this is sustainable. But I’m also not smart enough to know what breaks this."

  • U.S. Stocks see largest annual inflow in history of $448 Billion (and the year isn't over), meanwhile Corporate Bond Spreads have dropped to the lowest level in 26 years

  • Russia recruits hundreds of Yemeni Houthis for war against Ukraine – FT

  • Ceasefire deal between Israel and Hezbollah is ‘very close,’ regional source says, as Lebanon death toll climbs

  • Need any of the big houses 2025 outlooks ? let me know


 





Elections have consequences - especially in 2024







How China Could Strike Back At Trump's Tariffs ''America's industries, including defense, outsourced tens of thousands of key parts to China during the past 20 years. US manufacturers don't produce capacitors, accumulators, pumps, compressors, switching equipment and other essential equipment for US electrical utilities.''






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