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Writer's pictureStéphan

BoE summer cut, GDP up / #HSI / Asymmetric FED : macro data softer..expectations can shift quickly / U.S CPI up next week / Commods, copper, metals up



  • U.S claims slightly softer, yields and USDollar soften a little, vols lower, 30's UST auctions flies by and rates get another nudge lower, U.S equities close on the highs >>> bottom line the number of U.S numbers are starting to weaken/roll over, fwd indicators had a hint recently (NFP, credit, consumer confidence and both sides of the PMI's)... all this with an asymmetric FED, so things can change quickly

  • MS on next week’s #CPI print: “The Descent Begins, “.. We forecast core CPI inflation fell to 0.29%M in April (0.3%M cons, 3.6%Y annual rate). Core goods remain in negative territory, and services come in lower with softer car insurance inflation.”

  • Janet Yellen will soon be telling all that there is no issue for U.S Treasuries, she has been flying to China and Japan a lot recently..

  • Copper, Gold, metals loving it all (Rate peak-USD peak, whether USD weakens is another story, BoJ needs to play a part in this)

  • BoE opened to a summer cut, 7-2 vote, inflation news are encouraging, A forecast and recession beating GDP figure of 0.6% today showed the UK’s strongest expansion in over two years, not bad after all !...GBP holding up well too, as markets sees FED cut coming

  • S&P 500 stock buybacks are projected to hit a record $1.075 trillion in 2025, a 16% increase from this year's total

  • #HSI Hong Kong stocks rise to 8-month highs after China property relief, high dividend-yielding stocks in focus

  • Battery prices in China are ''crashing'' (good news for consumers, starting to change the game, not such good news for EV makers though)

  • BP wants to buy Tesla's EV charging infrastructure; as the latter struggles, the former sits on a cash reserve thanks to several years of high oil prices

  • DB : Germany, looks like things are picking up in the German industry, especially energy-intensive industries make up lost ground

  • Ikea CEO says sales are the slowest they've ever seen

  • BofA Fund Manager Survey - Investors' exposure to China remains extremely low ...

 















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