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Writer's pictureStéphan

BoJ : $62bn spent / OPEC+ extend cuts into Q3 / China Caixin 2y highs / NVD / U.S PCE as exp / India, SA, Mexico, and now EU elections up next



  • Week ahead : JOLTS Tuesday, ECB rate decision on Thursday, U.S NFP Friday and PMI across globe are the main events, BoC rate decision on Wed, after over 10+ Fed speakers last week, there will be none this week as we are in 'blackout period' till FOMC next week >>> markets looked a little soft going into the final 2hours on Friday! a $6bn ''buy into the close'' pushed it all back to current levels + perhaps early news/rumours of some kind of deal in Israel-Gaza war emerged

  • Israel-Gaza war live: Blinken urges Israel and Hamas to take ceasefire deal as fresh strikes reported in Rafah

  • Modi's alliance to win big in India election, exit polls project

  • Sheinbaum elected Mexico's first woman president

  • The ANC’s total supremacy in South Africa is over

  • OPEC+ agreed to extend its voluntary cuts to approx 2mio barrels a day through Q3, followed by gradual phase out over following 12mos

  • China factory activity growth hits 2-year high, 51.7 in May from 51.4 in April and Prospect of peaceful 'reunification' with Taiwan being 'eroded', China says.  China has sold $102bn in UST securities over the past 12mos and bought a large amount of Gold (still got 700bn)

  • U.S PCE, April core was as expected, no major surprises, kex going forward is moderating wage growth

  • SNB : The natural rate of interest (r*) as a reference point for monetary policy - a practitioner's view

  • Russia-China pipeline deal stalls

  • Don't expect policy change, French PM says after debt downgrade. French far right has big lead over Macron ally ahead of EU vote: poll

  • Key Engines of US Consumer Spending Are Losing Steam All at Once - most definitely a must monitor over the summer scenario..

 










Got to follow up with rate hikes..or else





WTI crude, been super rangy, few calls for 75$ area to be tested


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