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ChatGPT / EZ Food inflation / BoJ's Ueda tom / FOMC minutes / DAX / SPX500 key support 3960/90 area



  • FOMC minutes : suggested that "a few" participants (3?) favoured a 50bps move. FOMC meeting took place before the surprisingly strong January NFP, the 50bp camp might be expanding further behind the scenes. No discussion on the quantitative criterion on a pause either, so further away, Terminal rate for Bullard and few others now around 5.4%

  • Incoming BOJ Governor Ueda speaks tomorrow, the first time since his nomination

  • China tells big tech companies not to offer ChatGPT services, and JPMorgan Chase Restricts Staffers’ Use Of ChatGPT , AI like ChatGPT amplifies 'darkest aspects of human nature,' Pinterest CEO warns

  • Sweden’s Foreign Minister Tobias Billström told CNBC Sweden and Finland’s NATO membership was “just a matter of time” with negotiations with ratification holdout Turkey set to resume

  • China instructs state firms to phase out big four auditors

  • Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley says they "not in the game of politics, don't want to dictate companies' strategies"

  • Meta plans to cut thousands of jobs, after CEO predicted no more layoffs

  • Google has asked some employees to share desks - optimising space!

  • German Food CPI jumped 20.2% YoY in Jan, Austria reached 17.4% in January, dry winter weather won't be helping going into summer ! good grief

  • Russia’s Lavrov will take part in the meeting of G20 foreign ministers in New Delhi. G20 meeting: US Treasury Secretary Yellen: We will continue to impose further sanctions on Russia

  • IEA Warns That Europe’s Energy war with Russia is not over - FT

  • South Africans without electricity for 9 hours a day amid "ginormous" blackouts

 

Markets:
  • SPX500 testing 50 and 200dmas around 3'990 + trendline support from Oct lows - refer to chart yesterday

  • DAX has rallied 3'500 pts since early Oct - Pretty impressive, but beware trend support line not too far below current market

  • NatGas prices slightly higher/off lows on short-covering/spring weather forecasts colder

  • USD firm(er) as you would expect post 'firm' FOMC minutes, watch out for USDJPY tomorrow though

  • Bonds all made new lows yesterday, but Terminal rate now about 25bps above latest Fed 'infamous dots'.. so we may well be getting there slowly but surely!

  • Crude and few other commods a little softer on strong $

 






Food shortages, as energy prices went through the roof last year, wasn't viable anymore to grow anything and everything during our winter in polytunnels..








DAX has had a monster rally since early Oct - time to take some P. !


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