The U.S elections remains 50/50, Wisconsin the key it seems, please see key timing below for various results coming out tonight, could not be closer on polling, ''all down to turnout.. women vs young hulk hogan crowd it seems'', overheard on one of the TeeVee, IF result is close, it will undoubtedly be contested, using Musks personal Instagram-influencer machine to lead the charge, 3 or even 4 possible diff outcomes, all very different, if close and contested we get delays, see below Thread for possible outcomes (GS)
Overnight : Chinese indices gained about 2% hopes of new stimulus announcements continued to support sentiment, all the way...Boeing ends strike, a 40% incr in wages over 4 years, not bad! RBA was unchanged, as expected, perhaps slightly less dovish, meanwhile the German coalition is really struggling for survival as the 3 parties struggle with the budget and the economy
Put together by Saxo:
Electoral College Dynamics
270 EC votes needed: Harris likely starts with 226 EC votes, Trump with 219. Use www.270towin.com to track.
Seven swing states: These 93 votes could tip the scale.
Turnout is key. More younger voters and women voters coming out could be favourable for Harris.
Important Election Times (in SGT)
Exit polls embargo lifted at 6:00 AM SGT (Wednesday).
Ballot processing starts early in several key states, but projections only come once polls close.
Polling closing times for swing states in CET
Georgia (GA): 1:00
North Carolina (NC): 1:30
Pennsylvania (PA): 2:00
Michigan (MI): 2:00
Wisconsin (WI): 3:00
Arizona (AZ): 3:00
Nevada (NV): 4:00
Close margins could trigger recounts, particularly in swing states with tight races. A recount could delay final results by several days.
Simultaneous Global Events
Carl Quintanilla on X: "Goldman has some potential reaction functions: 🇺🇸 Trump w/ Republican Sweep = 25% probability; S&P +3% Trump w/ Divided Government = 30% probability; S&P +1.5% Harris w/ Democratic Sweep = 5% probability; S&P -3% Harris w/ Divided Government = 40% probability; S&P" / X
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