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Writer's pictureStéphan

France : hung parliament possible / Biden wants to stay on / Shipping freight Aug 2022 highs / JPN inflation outlook




  • Week ahead (see below upcoming events), starts of H2 2024, UK election, 2nd round in France >>> ''RN falling short of majority'', 10y spread to Bund narrows by about 8bps, risk rallies initially in europe, long way to go >>> Hung parliament possible

  • France, RN 33.1%, left-wing alliance 28% and Macron camp 21%, Édouard Carmignac says markets will keep French far right on ‘tight leash’

  • Biden wants to stay on by the sound of things

  • Inflation expectations in Japan have risen to the highest since at least 2004 by one measure as the tumbling yen pressures import prices higher, adding to the case for the central bank to raise interest rates

  • Global shipping freight cost have spiked to the highest level since 2022, and US economic surprise index has plummeted to the lowest level since August 2022

  • Recycling ‘end-of-life’ solar panels, wind turbines, is about to be climate tech’s big waste business

 





Saxo/Upcoming Events:

Monday Japan Tankan, DE Inflation, International PMI, US ISM, Canada Holiday

Tuesday EU Inflation, Unemployment, Powell speaks

Wednesday DE Industrial Orders, US Initial Jobless Claims, Fed Minutes, John Williams Speaks

Thursday US Holiday, UK Election, DE Industrial Orders

Friday DE Industrial Production, UK House Prices, Swiss FX Reserves, US Nonfarm & Unemployment, Canada Labor Market Data

And Saturday a certain England vs Switzerland..







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