top of page
Writer's pictureStéphan

JPN infl up / QQQ way overbought / #CBO increases budget by $400bn for 2024 /#OPEX expiry today



  • Today is the big quadruple witching day, with a large amount of gamma due to roll-off in the options market

  • Congressional Budget Office raises federal budget deficit projection by $400 billion, a 27 percent increase compared to its original estimate released in February, juts like that

  • SNB cut 25bps, 2nd cut YTD, same guidance going forward, could go either way, largely in line with market expectations, minor adjustment lower in infl forecast

  • BoE held rates steady, as expected with more members positioning for a cut, August cut looks on the cards, 2 cuts fully priced for 2024

  • US initial jobless claims: More proof of a struggling consumer?

  • Japan's inflation rose in May due to rising electricity costs Core CPI gained 2.5%, accelerating for the first time in three months

  • US, China Resume Nuclear Talks After 5 Years Amid Taiwan Conflict, China warns of 'trade war' if EU continues to escalate trade frictions

  • Oil prices are up 10% in the last 2 weeks, Citi says oil is facing bullish pressure as summer season picks up, with global crude and product deficit of around 200L barrels per day

  • Japan’s biggest agricultural bank surprised the market this week by saying it would sell $63 billion of low-yielding US and European government bonds that had become unprofitable to hold after the firm’s shorter-term funding costs jumped >>> #USDJPY just closed on highs above 159, 1st time since interventions in May

  • Good week for GOLD, Silver, they love very average/weaker macro data, softer rates, geopolitical and political uncertainty #XAUUSD #XAGUSD

  • Short interest tied to SPY and QQQ is hovering at the lowest levels since at least 2018 ---JPM >>> if you wanted to be bear, might be a reasonable time to put a hedge on >>> today's options expiration notional value is $5.1 Trillion, the largest in history, very much due to #NVDA and ETF rebalancings..

  • Macron’s Party Makes Slight Gain in French Election Poll - Bloomberg *Macron’s group would get 22% support, in third place after Marine Le Pen’s far-right party, with 34%, and an alliance of left-wing parties, with 29%, according to the survey by Ifop-Fiducial for LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radi

  • Apollo / The current Ai bubble is bigger than the 1990's tech bubble

  • Wheat got a lot cheaper last few weeks

 





Norinchukin CEO Says Expected Loss Could Change With Market (yahoo.com) >>> it's pretty big, won't be done in a day! but over next few weeks/months could cap CROSSJPY's










#NVDA bit of bearish candle yesterday, see how goes with OPEX month, quarter, half year-end next week


37 views0 comments

Comments


bottom of page