Crypto tumbled yesterday, was some chatters SEC holding off on BTC ETF decision
FOMC minutes, you could take anything in there to support your bias, but FED will be reluctant to cut too soon, high for a little longer, employment is key >>> "participants viewed the policy rate as likely at or near its peak for this tightening cycle, though they noted that the actual policy path will depend on how the economy evolves" and "reaffirmed that it would be appropriate for policy to remain at a restrictive stance for some time until inflation was clearly moving down sustainably"...and ahead of NFP : “Several participants noted the risk that, if labor demand were to weaken substantially further, the labor market could transition quickly from a gradual easing to a more abrupt downshift in conditions.” /Thread from Timiraos below interesting
China Caixin services firmer, while JPN PMI manufacturing data deeper into contraction (delayed YCC decision..??) and UK Dec's final services 53.4 (52.7 prelim)
China's ’s Workers Suffer Biggest Drop in Hiring Salaries on Record/BBG, PBOC balance-sheet has increased by nearly $600bn last 4months.. to $6.2trn #KWEB
US Factory Gauge Shows 14th Month of Shrinking Activity, ISM yesterday showed that the grand total of 5.6% of purchasing managers are experiencing any growth >>> many describe the U.S economy as very strong, because it is running on biblical amount of debt/deficit, which is 6.3% of GDP, this has never happened other than after WWII and during covid..
Markets :
Russell hitting the 21dma and the trend line that has been in place since Oct lows. RSI goes from extremely overbought to the least overbought since mid Nov, just like that in 2days...
SPX500 4'650/70 area of support is KEY support for the bulls
Crude prices beginning to react to risk of MidEast supply fears..(shipping doing well !)
CROSSJPY's correcting higher still, together with USDJPY breaking up through key 142.50 area
Russia-Ukraine war live: Russian hackers inside Ukraine’s biggest telecoms company ‘since at least May’ (theguardian.com)
That is certainly not on Mr market's radar
Nick Timiraos on X: "The latest Jolts report suggests job turnover continued to cool in November Openings fell below 9 million using a three-month moving average, the lowest in 2½ years There were 1.4 openings for every unemployed person, down from 1.8 a year earlier https://t.co/OyExnUp1rz https://t.co/crw0SLYc0p" / X (twitter.com)
Satori Fund's Dan Niles Names Amazon, Meta Top Stocks To Own In 2024 (msn.com) >>> Niles likes our contrarian long China ! #SHCOMP #KWEB #tradeidea
Crypto News Today: Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst Seyffart Puts the Record Straight (fxempire.com) >>> risk is market has been front running those ETF's.. ''hook them in then pull the rug?''..surely not (for the record I have no real view about them other than 'own 5% of your portfolio' for ever and leave it alone)..
USDJPY pretty clear
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