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Writer's pictureStéphan

#NVDA up next : +/- 9% move expected after earnings / FED officials : patience ! / UK infl not as low as exp #GBPCHF / #VIX <12, 'carry-on' #CHF #JPY #SPX




  • FED officials urge patience on timing of initial rate cut (though overall speeches from fed officials slightly less hawkish..), UK Inflation not quite as low as expectations #GBPCHF nicely does it, #NVDA all about guidance (#AMZN below news + implied vols say +/- 10pct move approx for after hours fun) >>> so long as VIX remains around/below 12 it will force-push more systematic buying of 'carry' in risk, and in FXland JPY and CHF will remain soft

  • How sanctions played havoc with Iran’s ageing helicopters. US-made Bell 212 carrying country’s president was almost 30 years old when it crashed into a mountainside

  • Former South Africa president Jacob Zuma banned from running in next week's election due to criminal conviction

  • Barclays Plc is among Wall Street firms weighing whether to require scores of workers to commute to company offices five days a week

  • The European Central Bank holds 20% of Atos bonds, La Lettre says

  • Jamie Dimon plans to step down in the coming years, preparing the ground, which should hardly be a s surprise!

  • US electricity demand from EVs jumps to new highs in early 2024

  • Russian defence ministry proposes revising Baltic Sea border, what next

  • Israel has Recalled their Ambassadors from Ireland and Norway for “Consultations” following the Governments of the Two Countries announcing their Recognition today of a Palestinian State.

 









This is the new normal : The European Central Bank holds about 20% of French IT consulting firm Atos' bonds, making it the largest bondholder of the group which is reviewing creditors' proposals to restructure its 4.8 billion euros ($5.21 billion) of debt, French media La Lettre reported on Monday











JPMORGAN/KOLANOVIC ".. A negative stance on equities has hurt the performance of our multi-asset portfolio over the past year, though this has been in part compensated by an OW in commodities and high cash and fixed income yields. However, with very high equity valuations (as well as tight credit spreads and low levels of volatility), we do not see equities as attractive investments at the moment, and we don’t see a reason to change our stance. Rates are restrictive and likely to stay so for longer, inflation readings have been higher than expected (on average), investor positioning and valuations are high, lower cohorts of consumers are showing stress, and geopolitical uncertainty is at the highest level in decades. We don’t think that narrow themes like AI chips can compensate for all of those traditional market challenges that historically worked against the cycle."



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