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Writer's pictureStéphan

Saxo's outrageous pred : Obesity drug backfires / BATS, goodwill, WTI ⏬ / BoJ YCC tweak coming #JPY



  • The Bank of Japan is in the process of summarizing 10 years of extreme monetary easing. During a workshop at BOJ headquarters on Monday, participants were presented with a report stating that liquidity in the bond market had "generally worsened" due to extreme monetary easing. The BOJ published the contents of the report on Wednesday

  • BATS writes down $31.5 billion from value of U.S. cigarette brands - was always a matter of time till it happened

  • Oil prices falling hard again, anyone want to suggest a date for 'end of cost of living crisis'?

  • Walmart CEO says consumers may not be as resilient next year, even as deflation starts to show

  • Developing potential conflict in South America - as Russia's ally, Venezuela, presses its claim on the Essequibo region of Guyana (note: Commonwealth member), Brazil has moved troops up in support of Guyana (but so far still in Brazil)

  • In the opening round of the fourth primary debate on Wednesday, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie turned to his fellow candidates and implored them to go after the man who wasn’t there: Donald Trump

  • HSBC Boosts Parental Leave for Employees in Hong Kong. Maternity leave raised to 20 weeks, paternity leave to 40 days

  • US Senate Republicans block Ukraine, Israel aid bill over border dispute >>>>> when government split, as they 'have' to make choice on spending..

  • Muddy Waters is short Blackstone Mortgage Trust REIT

  • China's surprise imports contraction sparks worries over demand

  • The S&P 500 technology sector's relative strength versus the broad market is at its highest level since March 2000

 

Markets :

  • Yields moved sharply lower on softer data, now ALL economists that were hawkish on rates 1% higher, now react and become all obviously bearish on inflation... >>> JGB's react overnight to BoJ incoming YCC tweak, pushing long-end yields higher overall on weak 30y bond auction - lowest bid/cover ratio since 2015

  • CROSSJPY's in play lower, finally! >> been a huge carry trade for a while, watch out Dec markets and liquidity (or lack of), NFP tomorrow could also bring some decent vol again!

  • USDJPY - that same chart - below

  • Equity markets 'fading', few Mag 7's struggling a little (crowded trade), so watch out below key short-term supports...

  • SPX500 : reminder 4'550 is exactly where it was 2y ago - quite something, obviously a LOT more going on underneath and in various sectors since

  • Crude lower again

 



One reason why we've avoided this one...that huge goodwill on the books was always going to have to be written-off one day, it has now







Robert Jenrick resigns as immigration minister over Rwanda legislation - BBC News >>> "I think that Suella Braverman and Robert Jenrick's resignation and sackings have basically now morphed into a shadow leadership contest."






THAT USDJPY chart still - sub 145 USDJPY AREA and there could be some fire works and of course equivalent in CROSSJPY's..




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