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Writer's pictureStéphan

SNB loss in '23 / Commods & metals 🔼 in '24 / APPL / German IP / U.S CPI up next tom



  • Switzerland will for the second time in a row not see any payout from its central bank, as the soaring franc counteracts gains on capital, SNB expects an annual loss of around CHF3 billion ($3.5 billion) for last year (that's better than the 132bn loss in 2022)

  • Germany: Farmers protest causing nationwide disruptions

  • Samsung expects 35% profit drop in Q4, due to weak demand, and NVDA makes new highs yesterday $520! >> NVDA market cap was up $65bn yesterday, that's more than they sales over the last 12months and about 250x more than they made last quarter

  • BlackRock set a 0.3% fee for its proposed BTC ETF, much lower than expected, big firms undercutting each other on fees

  • SPX500 2024 targets, UBS revises it higher from 4'700 to 5'000, RBC from 5K to 5'100

  • ECB is unlikely to lower borrowing costs before the summer, according to Governing Council member Boris Vujcic

  • FED's Bowman - rate cuts eventually warranted as inflation falls, shocking revelation!..also adds to cover her bets that she remains willing to hike if inflation progress stalls >>> GOLDMAN: “.. We expect that core #PCE inflation declined further in December 2023 and will continue to decline to an even greater extent throughout 2024. We forecast core PCE inflation of 2.9% in December 2023 and 2.2% in December 2024.”, and finally Bostic said inflation has come down more than expected, with prices on a path to reaching the FOMC’s 2% target, but he doesn’t expect a rate cut until the third quarter

  • Apple’s Vision Pro AR headset is hitting the market for US customers next month, taking on headset-market leader Meta

  • German Industrial Production down 0.7% in Nov, in downtrend since 2017, production is about 10-15% lower than at peak 6+years ago

  • Five Spanish regions have announced the reintroduction of rules making the use of face masks compulsory in health facilities following a spike in flu and COVID-19 cases over the festive season, good pre-emptive move - hopefully!

  • GS's Currie : 'Demand for raw materials is at record levels, inventories are low, and spare production capacity is largely "exhausted. This is just classic 'own commodities.'"'

  • Emmanuel Macron is expected to name his 34-year old education minister as France's prime minister after pushing out Elisabeth Borne


 


Markets:

  • NIKKEI makes a 34y high, 1989!, meanwhile in China, local stock markets on 5y lows, still looking for a green day in 2024

  • Saxo : 2024 (could become the) Year of the metals..

  • EURUSD 1.10/1.11 remains big resistance, U.S CPI will be key tomorrow, beware UST auctions, even if it's a known known for most apparently.

  • Equity markets : will remian volatile, up and down, reacting to anything possible, it's the usual Jan price action ! overall valuation are stretched overall, always looking for markets to create attractive opportunities for our clients!

  • UST's, 10s 4% awaiting U.S CPI tomorrow and many more Fed speakers who don't really matter big picture, but will get the likesofCNBC all exited on the day


 










The return of 'some inflation'











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