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Writer's pictureStéphan

SPX top 10 now 35% / MXN carried out / EU-China #EV tariffs / Israel-Hamas ceasefire plan / #SPR / U.S CPI & FOMC up next tom, all about dots for '24 and '25



  • This week, the European Union is expected to reveal provisional tariff rates for Chinese electric vehicles

  • U.S CPI expectations for tomorrow (below), market focused on disinflation process, so markets more prone to react to disappointing/higher inflation data, with equity markets sitting on ATH's, dot plots, guidance all will be scrutinised as usual, about 2 cuts in sight for 2024, Powell likely to balance and stick to that view overall

  • Israel latest : Blinken on a 3day tour in ME, asking leaders to press Hama for a cease-fire and pushing Netanyahu to embrace a deal, UN Security Council backs Israel-Hamas ceasefire plan

  • #USDMXN was up 10% or so last week, ''most popular carry trade of the last 2years'' ..came unstuck, overblown narrative with 'onshoring' probably, these do not tend to happen on their own so do watch out if 'other carries' get challenged.. >>> bottom line politics do move markets, EU elections tame reaction so far, the real deal comes late June/early July with France and UK

  • Danish offshore wind hit with price increase of EUR 6bn: ”There’s not a penny to be made from this"

  • NZ Government to reverse oil and gas exploration ban

  • France :  Far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally is seen garnering 34% of voter intentions in the first round of upcoming French legislative elections, compared with 19% for President Emmanuel Macron’s ruling party, according to a poll - Bloomberg *The left-leaning grouping that includes France Unbowed, the Communists, Socialists and Greens would get 22%, the survey by Toluna Harris Interactive for Challenges, M6 and RTL said on Monday

  • #TSLA CEO Elon Musk's $56 billion pay package unlikely to receive shareholder approval warns Bernstein

  • #marketconcentration S&P 500's Top 10 Stocks now account for an all-time high 35% of the whole SPX500

  • US buys 3 million barrels of oil for Strategic Petroleum Reserve...as expected!

 

Yup around low $70-75 it's cheap..











All about France, why now etc




The world’s rules-based order is cracking (economist.com) Human-rights lawyers are trying to save laws meant to tame violent rulers


#WTI crude won't go lower


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