US House Speaker passes bill to avert shutdown with Democratic support, no surprise, happens every time, It keeps federal agencies open at current spending levels until mid-January
Headline CPI lower, good news, inflation is higher still but less fast.... and U.S CPI core is still 4% (easy part done, not only, but largely about energy cost)
U.K. inflation fell sharply in October to 4.6% from 6.7% the previous month, hitting a two-year low, core is still 5.7% (from 6.1 in Sep)
RRP : The amount of money that investors are parking at a major Federal Reserve facility dropped below $1 trillion for the first time in more than two year
Non-financial companies in the S&P 500 have a combined $107.7 billion in debt coming due next year, with an average interest rate of 2.8%. Refinancing at current rates would add another $3.09 billion in collective interest expense: Calcbench report
JPMorgan's David Kelly on CPI: It is notable that almost 90% of the 3.2% year-over-year increase in CPI for October came from rent, owners’ equivalent rent and auto insurance, categories that are all likely to see much lower inflation in the year ahead
Glencore Plc will buy a majority stake in Teck Resources Ltd.’s coal business, ending a months-long saga that transfixed the mining industry and setting the stage for the commodity giant to exit the coal business itself
China's industrial output grew 4.6% in Oct YoY, from the 4.5% Sep pace, PBOC said it was keeping the rate on 1.45 trillion yuan ($199.92 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions unchanged at 2.50% from the previous operation
Japan’s economy slipped into a contraction in the third quarter, decreasing at an annual pace of 2.1% as consumption and investments shrank
A union representing German train drivers says it is calling its members out on a 20-hour strike later this week as a rancorous round of pay negotiations with the country’s main rail operator gets under way
Markets :
Huge 'everything rally' mostly due to bad positioning, too many bears (VIX lower was always the tell recently..gammy buying etc), BoJ on hold, PBOC adding, Crude prices lower (ME tensions having no big impact there) and lower headline inflation (mostly expected..)
SPX500 - chart -back in the previous higher trend >>>> all very similar in DAX (mentioned 11500+ lately as key, EU50stoxx, Dow, NASDAQ pretty near all time highs already! >>>> seasonality factors supporting/supported equity markets last couple of weeks, only questions is whether markets are not frontrunning this already and geeting a little ahead of themselves..! but overall wouldn not be shocked is positoning remain offside and the evrythign rally could well continue for a bit longer!
UST 10's - chart - in yield terms 4.3-4.5% is the support
USDollar took a decent beating, market positioning far too long USD ...still >>> look to perhaps sell CROSSJPY's which have rallied again on lower yields, a little 'strange' but weak JPN GDP data may well keep BoJ on sideline for as long as they can ! >>>> few charts below to keep things in pictures
The Treasury has issued roughly $1.76 trillion of bills on net, and that’s helped drive their interest rates above the offering yield on the US central bank facility — currently 5.30%. This deluge has also helped push up rates on other money-market assets like private repo.
Venture Capital Shows Signs of a Performance Turnaround: BlackRock’s eFront (institutionalinvestor.com) Let's be all honest here, things will remain volatile one way or another, which bring opportunties, have room to increase risks on a decent dip !... : the views diverge amongst investors as well as Big Banks (MS vs GS view etc) Soft landing will be 'difficult,' says PE veteran (yahoo.com)
Iceland volcano - live updates: Cracks appear in roads amid fears of imminent volcanic eruption | World News | Sky News Huh! pretty nasty stuff
SPX - going back to trend ? other indexes looking similar, most bombed out/rates sensitive sectors reacting in a more powerful way yesterday too
EU50stoxx
NASDAQ100
10's UST prices
AUDUSD - FX been relatively boring, but we keep the view that USD topped around 1.3800CAD, 1.0500 EURO, 1.2100 GBP, USDCNH 7.3500 etc
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