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UMich survey : 2y highs / Tech facts : S&P 7's 'food for thoughts' after H1 / USD softer / XAGUSD..



  • Heatwaves scorch parts of three continents, threaten to top record temperatures this week

  • A record $270 billion in bank-held commercial mortgages, of which about $80 billion is in office loans, will mature in 2023: Trepp. CRE loans make up about 25% of total US bank loans outstanding, but account for nearly half of all loans at community banks.

  • The University of Michigan preliminary index rose by 8.2 points to 72.6, the highest since September 2021

  • Germany just unveiled its first ever China strategy."De-risking is urgently needed," the document reads. How that will be achieved is less clear

  • Shout it out loud: Soundproof apartments catch on in Japan

  • 'Very well': Doctor's update on Aussie sailor after months stranded at sea - brilliant

  • According to new US government data, annualized interest payments on US debt just crossed $900 BILLION for the first time in history

  • Speaking with UBS analysts on a call last week, Stability AI CEO Emad Mostaque said of AI: “I think this will be the biggest bubble of all time.”

  • Prolonged Hollywood strikes could lead to 'an absolute collapse of an entire industry,' says IAC Chair Diller

 
Markets :
  • XAGUSD hits a 2month high, USD weakness, solar demand related etc

  • USDollar broke down through key med term supports, momentum guys/funds could very well get involved...FX is alive!

  • Equity markets, entering full earning season, big week next week, S&P superlatives below, pretty astonishing numbers !

  • UST yields bounced back on Friday after UMich survey sentiment on 2y highs, will remain wild over next couple of meetings, market debating on 1 more hike or not (beyond what is priced..) after each key macro data (sentiment isn't one..)

 





It is hard to find bigger superlatives, but here are a few via BofA's great quant team. The top 7 stocks:


1 … drove 73% of S&P 500 gains in 1H, each up 90% on average in 1H

2 … have a market capitalization of roughly equivalent to half of US GDP

3 … trade at a Price to Trailing Earnings (P/E Trail) ratio of ~40x. The S&P 500 Ex-7 trades closer to 15x

4. … is expected to represent all US corporate earnings growth and then some in 2Q – a 21% YoY gain vs. a 10% YoY loss for the rest of the S&P 500

5 ... TMT represents 8% of US GDP, 17% of S&P EPS and 40% of S&P market cap



Should all continue to drive flows towards EMG !





As expected


AI potentially destroying a whole industry


Allegedly



Since a lot of wealth is in properties that would hardly ever be sold, whether you live in a property worth 50k or 650K doesn't really matter in near-term.. for those leveraged, it does, but don't forget only 30% of houses in UK actually have a mortgage attached to them..



- brilliant pics





Free money, and zero financing ?




XAGUSD - this is it folks...ready to take off ?



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